مستقبل مهنة كاتب الدراما في ضوء تطورات تقنيات الذكاء الاصطناعي في العقد القادم 2024-2034: دراسة استشرافية في إطار نموذج شبكة الفاعلين

نوع المستند : المقالة الأصلية

المؤلف

قسم الاعلام والمكتبات والمعلومات، معهد الدراسات الأفروأسيوى، جامعة قناة السويس، جمهورة مصر العربية

المستخلص

اهتم البحث الراهن بدراسة مستقبل مهنة كاتب الدراما في ظل التطورات المتزايدة لتقنيات الذكاء الاصطناعي في العقد المقبل. وذلك من خلال مقابلات متعمقة مع كتاب دراما وخبراء في الذكاء الاصطناعي ومجموعات نقاش مع الجمهور، والتي اهتمت هذه الدراسة ببحث العلاقات الحالية والمستقبلية بينهم.
اعتمد البحث على منهجية السيناريوهات بأسلوب دلفي، بحيث أجرت الباحثة الجولة الأولى على 11 كاتب دراما و9 خبراء ذكاء صناعي و20 مفردة من الجمهور، ثم استنتجت الباحثة السيناريوهات وعادت لنفس العينة مرة أخرى وفق أسلوب دلفي لعرض السيناريوهات عليهم لاختيار السيناريو الذي يرون أنه الأنسب.
واتفق المشاركون في الدراسة على أنه من المرجّح استمرار "سيناريو التكامل" الذي يتنبأ باستمرار التعاون والتكامل بين البشر والذكاء الاصطناعي خلال العقد القادم بين 2024- 2034. واختلفوا فيما إذا كان هذا السيناريو سيستمر طوال العقد أم أن هناك سيناريوهات أخرى قابلة للحدوث بسبب التطورات السريعة لهذه التقنيات. حيث رجّح كتاب الدراما استمرار العلاقة بين الكتّاب والذكاء الاصطناعي في إطار التكامل طوال العقد القادم كاملاً، بينما رجّح خبراء الذكاء الاصطناعي والجمهور حدوث "سيناريو سيطرة الذكاء الاصطناعي" على كتابة المحتوى الدرامي. ولم تدعم النتائج "السيناريو التفاؤلي" كثيراً بسبب ضعف مرتكزاته في الواقع الحالي.

الكلمات الرئيسية

الموضوعات الرئيسية


 
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